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2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 picks: NASCAR projected leaderboard, predictions from proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 at Pocono Raceway 10,000 times
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The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350. The green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET. Kyle Larson is the 9-4 favorite in the latest 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 odds, with Kyle Busch (6-1), Denny Hamlin (15-2) and William Byron (8-1) next in line on the NASCAR odds board.

Larson was leading in the final lap of Saturday's race at Pocono, but a flat tire cost him a likely victory. Alex Bowman took the checkered flag. 

Now our proven projection model has simulated the Sunday race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.

At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval.

In the 2021 season, the model has correctly predicted at least seven top-10 finishers in seven of the last 14 races! In April, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. The model also nailed Kyle Larson to win the 2021 NASCAR All-Star Race for a 5-2 payout and last week it nailed Larson to win again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Anyone who has followed its lead on those plays has seen some HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Martin Truex, Jr., even though he's a 16-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Pocono odds 2021. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: William Byron, one of the Vegas favorites at 8-1, stumbles and doesn't even crack the top five! There are far better values in this loaded 2021 Pocono Mountains 350 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two other drivers with NASCAR at Pocono odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag and sees value in a MASSIVE long shot who's fetching 100-1 odds! Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2021 Explore the Pocono Mountains 350? And which EPIC long shot is a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected NASCAR at Pocono leaderboard, all from the model that nailed Kyle Larson's wins the last two weeks!

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