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2021 Bluegreen Vacations Duel picks: Projected NASCAR leaderboard, Daytona predictions from proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the 2021 Bluegreen Vacations Duels on Feb. 11 10,000 times
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The 2021 Bluegreen Vacations Duels will take place at the iconic Daytona International Speedway on Thursday. The green flag drops on the first duel at 7 p.m. ET with the second duel scheduled to begin 20 minutes after the completion of the first. Back-to-back Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin is the 11-2 favorite in the first duel while defending NASCAR Cup Series champion Chase Elliott is the 13-2 favorite in the second duel according to the latest 2021 Daytona Duels odds. 

Our proven projection model has simulated this race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami

At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval. Anybody who has followed it has seen HUGE returns! 

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2021 Bluegreen Vacations Duels and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Ryan Newman, even though he's a 16-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Daytona odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Chase Elliott, the Vegas favorite in the second duel at 13-2, stumbles big time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in this loaded field.

The model is also targeting four other drivers with NASCAR at Daytona odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag.  Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2021 Bluegreen Vacations Duels at Daytona? And which long shots stun NASCAR? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected Daytona Duels leaderboards, all from the model that nailed Hamlin's win last year!

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Mike McClure
Mike McClureMoney