Essential Quality can establish himself as the Kentucky Derby favorite on Saturday when he leaves the starting gate in the 2021 Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland Race Course in Lexington, Ky. This gray son of Tapit is the 3-5 favorite in the current 2021 Blue Grass Stakes odds. Post time is 6:35 p.m. ET.
Before you make any Blue Grass Stakes picks, you NEED to see what racing insider Bob Weir has to say.
Based in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., Weir has been handicapping and following horse racing since reading Andy Beyer's landmark handicapping book "Picking Winners" in the late 1980s. Weir is highly invested in the Beyer Speed Figure, a number assigned to every race run by a horse that measures how fast the horse ran. He uses the figure as the backbone of his handicapping. In fact, thanks to his proficiency with speed figures and top-tier handicapping, he landed one of just eight spots on Beyer's figure-making team in 2017, a position he holds to this day.
Weir's methodology has produced multiple five-figure days. In 2014, he hit a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar. The following year, he nailed a $31,000 Pick 6 at Gulfstream Park. In 2016 and 2017, Weir qualified for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas!
Last year, his first for SportsLine, Weir was on fire. In June, Weir hit a $2 superfecta in the Ogden Phipps Stakes that paid a whopping $1,039. He crushed the exacta and trifecta in the Forego Stakes in August for $1,134.50. He hit the late Pick 4 at Belmont Park on June 18, June 19, June 25, July 2 and July 5, with the June 25 score returning a whopping $2,159.50.
And last month, he crushed the exacta in the Tampa Bay Derby for $1,414! Anyone who has followed Weir is way up.
Now, he has handicapped the 2021 Blue Grass Stakes field, made his picks and constructed his bets.
One shocker: Weir's top pick is not Essential Quality, even though he is the overwhelming 3-5 morning-line favorite! "Saturday might be the day to beat him," Weir tells SportsLine.
Instead, Weir's top pick is a horse who is "poised to improve." He's also high on a double-digit long shot who is "stepping up." Weir is including these horses in his wagering, and so should you. You ABSOLUTELY need to see which horses they are before locking in any picks.
Who wins the 2021 Blue Grass Stakes? And which double-digit long shot is a MUST-BACK? ... Join SportsLine right now to get the top 2021 Blue Grass Stakes picks and bets, all from the racing insider who nailed the Tampa Bay Derby last month!