The commencement of football season hits Thursday, Aug. 2, when the Baltimore Ravens face the Chicago Bears (-1) in the Hall of Fame Game (8 p.m. ET).

Although the kickoff for the NFL regular season is still a month away and there is little at stake in this contest, sportsbooks still post odds that catch the attention of bettors everywhere.

Where there's a football point spread, there's a value side -- and we've got you covered. SportsLine senior analyst Josh Nagel has broken down the matchup and locked in a confident selection.

SportsLine's assistant managing editor hit 63 percent of his NFL spread selections, and he heated up down the stretch with an 11-2 mark (84.6 percent) that included a perfect 3-0 in his postseason selections.

The Reno-based handicapper benefits from a thorough process that includes analytics, motivational spots and contrarian thinking combined with an ultra-selective approach to making and releasing selections.

We can tell you Nagel leans toward the Over 33.5 total points, but his much stronger play is on the side.

He has scoured the key points of this matchup, factored in the motivation angles of the coaches and players, and is convinced he has identified the value side in this nationally televised contest.

Who wins the Hall of Fame Game? And what are the key factors that have Josh Nagel sold on one side? Join SportsLine here to see the detailed analysis and pick from Josh Nagel, SportsLine's senior analyst who has hit nearly 85 percent of his recent NFL picks!