ANALYSIS: My model has the Mets winning this game 52.93 percent of the time. At a spread of +110, the Mets are expected to win this game roughly 47.5 percent of the time, so bettors are looking at a solid 4-5 percent edge. I would recommend taking the Mets for a price of +105 or better here.

ANALYSIS: My model has the Red Sox winning this game 51.9 percent of the time. At a spread of +120, sportsbooks are expecting the Red Sox to win this game roughly 45.5 percent of the time, so bettors are looking at a solid 4 to 5 percent value play here. I would take Boston here for anything better than +115 for a solid value play.

ANALYSIS: My model has the Pirates winning this game 45.57 percent of the time. At this price, sportsbooks are expecting the Pirates to win this game approximately 40.3 percent of the time, so bettors are looking at a solid 4-5 percent edge here. I would take Pittsburgh at anything above +140 for a solid value play.

ANALYSIS: My model has the Brewers winning this game 36.17 percent of the time. With a payout of +230, bookmakers are expecting Milwaukee to win this game only 30.30 percent of the time. My model sees a solid 6 percent edge. I would take the Brewers at anything above +220 for a solid value play.

ANALYSIS: My model has the Indians winning this game 56 percent of the time. I would recommend taking anything at -115 or better here. At -115, sportsbooks are expecting the Indians to win this game about 53 percent of the time, so bettors are looking at a solid 2 to 3 percent edge.