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Adam Goodwyn
Adam Goodwyn
The Moneyline Guy
After graduating Vanderbilt in economics, Adam built a sports betting model that specializes in money-line plays. His model returned $1,742 for $100 players last MLB season, and was up $5,725 in the current NBA season when play halted in March. Adam primarily bets on underdogs, as his model more frequently finds value there. Thus, he is able to generate big profits despite a win-loss record below 50 percent. For Adam Goodwyn media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Adam's Past Picks
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Philadelphia 9 @ N.Y. Mets 8 | 09/07 | 5:10 PM UTC

N.Y. Mets +110

LOSS

ANALYSIS: My model has the Mets winning this game 52.93 percent of the time. At a spread of +110, the Mets are expected to win this game roughly 47.5 percent of the time, so bettors are looking at a solid 4-5 percent edge. I would recommend taking the Mets for a price of +105 or better here.

Toronto 10 @ Boston 8 | 09/06 | 5:35 PM UTC

Boston +120

LOSS

ANALYSIS: My model has the Red Sox winning this game 51.9 percent of the time. At a spread of +120, sportsbooks are expecting the Red Sox to win this game roughly 45.5 percent of the time, so bettors are looking at a solid 4 to 5 percent value play here. I would take Boston here for anything better than +115 for a solid value play.

Cincinnati 2 @ Pittsburgh 3 | 09/06 | 5:35 PM UTC

Pittsburgh +145

WIN

ANALYSIS: My model has the Pirates winning this game 45.57 percent of the time. At this price, sportsbooks are expecting the Pirates to win this game approximately 40.3 percent of the time, so bettors are looking at a solid 4-5 percent edge here. I would take Pittsburgh at anything above +140 for a solid value play.

+195 2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ML PICKS
+175 2-1 IN LAST 3 CIN ML PICKS

Milwaukee 1 @ Cleveland 4 | 09/06 | 5:10 PM UTC

Milwaukee +230

LOSS

ANALYSIS: My model has the Brewers winning this game 36.17 percent of the time. With a payout of +230, bookmakers are expecting Milwaukee to win this game only 30.30 percent of the time. My model sees a solid 6 percent edge. I would take the Brewers at anything above +220 for a solid value play.

+160 3-2 IN LAST 5 MIL ML PICKS
+130 2-1 IN LAST 3 CLE ML PICKS

Milwaukee 3 @ Cleveland 4 | 09/05 | 11:10 PM UTC

Cleveland -115

WIN

ANALYSIS: My model has the Indians winning this game 56 percent of the time. I would recommend taking anything at -115 or better here. At -115, sportsbooks are expecting the Indians to win this game about 53 percent of the time, so bettors are looking at a solid 2 to 3 percent edge.

+160 3-2 IN LAST 5 MIL ML PICKS
+130 2-1 IN LAST 3 CLE ML PICKS