Reid Detmers and Zack Littell square off on Wednesday with two of the more impressive pitching starts of the season on their resume. The pair have combined to allow just four earned runs in 32.2 innings over three starts a piece. Both will be counted on to pitch deep into this game after these teams combined to use 13 relievers in yesterday's 13-inning marathon, and even though that game ended with 13 runs scored (apologies to the triskaidekaphobics), it was only 3-1 entering the bottom of the ninth. I expect a similar game in this one with not too many runs scored.

I didn't expect Hunter Greene to do his part in making yesterday's Reds-Mariners game a pitcher duel, but I'm more on board with a good start from Andrew Abbott here. He's allowed two earned runs or fewer in two-thirds of his MLB starts, including all three this year. The M's average just 3.39 runs and strike out 10.5 times per game, so the formula is there for Abbott to have success against a struggling Seattle lineup.

These two teams have played back-to-back extra-innings games, which has put a strain on both bullpens. The D-Backs bullpen has throw 192 pitches over the last two days, while the Cubs needed 123 pitches from their bullpen yesterday alone. That means Jordan Wicks should be tasked with not only completing the fifth inning for the first time this season but pitching into the sixth inning. The problem hasn't been his pitch count, which has been between 85 and 100 in all three starts, but racking up 19 Ks while putting 24 guys on base in just 12.2 innings. I expect the team to have him prioritize length today, throwing 100 pitches and getting through at least 16 outs.

I was on this play yesterday before this game was postponed, and I'm sticking with it here. Pasquantino has been locked in as of late, going 10 for 18 with three doubles and three homers in his last five games after a 4-for-37 start to the season. Jonathan Cannon, who is making his MLB debut, posted a 5.77 ERA in 11 Double-A starts last year but has been hurried to the majors after posting a 2.77 ERA in three Triple-A starts but with 10 hits and five walks in just 9.2 innings. This is a great matchup for Vinnie P and I like him to get 2+ bases today.

Tigers ace Tarik Skubal takes the mound against the Rangers, and he's picked up where he left off last year with two scoreless outings in his three starts. Skubal ended last year by allowing just one earned run in his final four starts, and aside from a couple late homers by the A's in his second outing, he's been almost untouchable. The Tigers have the clear pitching edge in this matchup, and I think it's worth making a F5 play here if you don't like the money line.

The Reds have played in 16 games this season, and only four of them have failed to get to nine total runs. Even a lower-scoring Mariners team has been under seven runs in just five of their 17 games this season, and all three Logan Gilbert starts got to seven runs. Hunter Greene has a career 4.64 ERA, and even with a great K rate I don't think we can expect a pitchers duel from him as the baseline for any game. It won't take much to make this at least a push, so I love the plus odds on the Over.

Hunter Brown gave up nine runs while recording just two outs in his last start, and now he has to face the top scoring offense in the majors. That's not a recipe for working out the issues that have caused him to give up at least five earned runs in five of his last seven starts dating back to last season. Reynaldo Lopez has pitched well on the other side, but even if he regresses today I like the Braves offense to outslug the Astros here.

Ryan Weathers is on the mound for the Marlins, and it's a great matchup for Jorge Soler, who has always been much better against lefties than righties in his career and delivered a 1.080 OPS in 135 plate appearances against southpaws last year. He's picking things up at the plate this year with a four-game hit streak that includes two extra-base hits. He's also playing in a familiar park after two seasons with the Marlins. I like his chances of getting an extra-base hit today.

The Orioles send Grayson Rodriguez to the mound Tuesday, and he's pitched well over his first three starts, averaging six innings and seven Ks while posting a 2.50 ERA. He gets to face a Twins team that is one of five in the majors to strike out at least 10 times per game and is near the bottom of the league in runs scored, with just one game over four runs in their last 10. Similar offensive struggles should allow Rodriguez to pitch at least six innings and get seven Ks, and I'll take the better value on the strikeout prop.

It's been a rough start to the year for Joe Musgrove, who has one of the worst xERAs in baseball at 8.40, among other troubling metrics. He has to face a Milwaukee offense that has let just one pitcher finish the sixth inning in the last six games, and that was after hanging seven runs (six earned) on Hunter Greene's arm and forcing him to throw 105 pitches. With the Brewers averaging 6.5 runs per game and Musgrove looking ineffective in three home starts (where he pitched better in 2023), I don't see him making it the full six innings today.

Nathan Eovaldi takes the mound for the Rangers today, and that's great news for Jose Altuve, who owns a 1.298 OPS in 30 career plate appearances against the Rangers starter. He homered in each of his two plate appearances in his last regular-season face-off with Eovaldi, and he has topped 1.5 total bases in half his games this year, as he did in one of his two matchups with Eovaldi last October. I believe we're getting a discount on this number with Eovaldi pitching well so far this year.

Reigning NL Cy Young Blake Snell will look to rebound from a rough Giants debut, but the key to this matchup is the pitching on the other side. Tyler Alexander has not taken well to the role of primary pitcher, getting knocked around for nine runs in 9.1 innings while surrendering four homers in two starts. He's just 4-20 with a 4.78 ERA as a starter in his career, and he's appears much more comfortable facing 8-12 batters per appearance, which is how the Rays used him last year. Consider this a massive pitching mismatch, which makes this price on the money line a great play.

These teams played two yesterday, with one going to extra innings, and the Tigers are in a tough spot after using six relievers considering they don't have an off-day for nearly two weeks. Jack Flaherty has gone six innings in each of his two starts, including last time out when he gave up six runs, so he can be counted on for length. He can also be counted on for around a K per inning, and this is a great matchup with the Twins striking out 10.7 times per game. I believe there's more than a 50 percent chance he gets to six Ks today so I love this value.

Bailey Ober was rocked in his season debut but bounced back nicely against the Dodgers earlier this week. With no off-day tomorrow, the Twins need length from him after using seven relievers in yesterday’s doubleheader. He should be built up to enough pitches to throw into the sixth inning, which he did in 14 of his first 16 starts last year before the Twins started limiting his workload coming off a 2022 season where he threw just 72.2 innings, and the Tigers aren’t a particularly imposing matchup with the offense scoring well below league average.

The Royals beat the Mets in a high-scoring affair yesterday, but today's game should look much different with Cole Ragans on the mound. The Royals ace is still looking for his first win as the offense hasn't given him much support despite scoring 5.6 runs per game this year, and while the Mets have been abnormally tough on lefties this year, Ragans has the talent to navigate the lineup and put his team in position for a win.