This has come crashing down from a high of -300. Not really sure why it has dropped so much as Iowa State isn't super injured other than down its top two kickers. So obviously that might come into play in a close game. It's the first road game for Arizona. When the Cats were on the road last year, they averaged just 74.8 yards rushing. This year, QB Noah Fifita is completing only 59% of his passes, 98th in the FBS. ISU has one of the Big 12's top 1-2 punches at tailback in Carson Hansen and Abu Sama III. The Cyclones didn't cover last time out but are 8-2 SU & ATS in their past 10 following an ATS loss.

My Wildcats are off to a 3-0 start but can we really count Kansas State as a big win after Iowa State ruined their souls in Week 0? Nonetheless, Arizona has given up only two touchdowns in three games and Danny Gonzales' defense looks to be for real. Meanwhile, Iowa State's defense seemingly is always for real, especially at home, where they've given up only 16.3 points per game dating back to 2024. Expect a lower-scoring game between two solid teams. I hope I picked the wrong team as the winner though. Iowa State 24, Arizona 20.

Arizona is 3-0 straight up and against the spread, playing great defense and staying under in all three games. There was a surge in opinion on Arizona after they beat Kansas State 23-17 while getting +1.5. But before we start crowning Arizona for their achievements this year, understand that all three of their games have been at home, and the other two teams were against Weber State and Hawaii. Iowa State also beat Kansas State, and they beat Iowa, South Dakota, and Arkansas State. They're at home in this game against Arizona. We find out who Arizona is on the road. Iowa State should be at least -10, but I'll say they win by 10 or more.