A decent Northwestern defense and projected high winds have kept this line under two TDs, which makes it irresistible. Indiana has rung up 40-plus points twice against Power Five foes, stands 4-1 ATS and, with a balanced offense, can lean on the ground game if the wind acts as a deterrent to passing. The gap between the teams' offense rankings in FBS -- ninth for the Hoosiers, 123rd for the Wildcats -- is massive. Little chance Northwestern can keep pace on the scoreboard.

At the risk of sounding snarky, let's see Northwestern do it again after getting to the Las Vegas Bowl. The attack looks lethargic; we did not agree with HC David Braun opting for Jack Lausch at QB over Mike Wright, benched after a couple of errors in the Duke game. Wright has also won games at QB in the SEC (while at Vandy), which no one else in Evanston has done. Lausch looked helpless in the 24-5 loss at Washington, completing just 8 of 27 passes as the offense stalled. Meanwhile, the Hoosiers are flying at 5-0, and serial winner HC Curt Cignetti winning as he did at JMU, with Ohio U transfer QB Kurtis Rourke looking an inspired addition. Play Indiana

This team looks to be a serious contender to crash the CFB playoffs. Yes, folks will point to the opponents they've played, but it's about how they're playing them and this game against Northwestern will be more of the same.