These teams have played a soft schedule, with the home team playing the more difficult slate, but not by a considerable margin. The Dukes own a +2.7 net yards per play, while the Tar Heels are +0.2 this season. James Madison is 5-1 straight up and 5-1 against the spread, with two weeks to prepare over the last three seasons. They are pumped up to play a Power Four school, and I love head coach Bob Chesney's motivational skills. North Carolina plans to use both quarterbacks, which may challenge either player to find a rhythm. The Tar Heels kick off their ACC slate against in-state rival Duke next week. I made this line 8.3, so getting 10.5 points screams value.

Don't count out James Madison against an inconsistent UNC offense. The Dukes have an exciting dual threat quarterback in Alonza Barnett III and a rock solid defense, which could keep Tar Heels QB Conner Harrell in check. This is the rare pick where I won't give a score prediction, but it's my top upset special to cover and potentially on the money line this week.