Big game for both teams and in some ways a rivalry of bordering states, however much bigger in basketball. With both teams 0-1 this is a big game. Illinois HC Bret Bielema really controls the pace of a football game with his two TE sets, power running game and always well prepared on defense. Illinois is 3-1 under while Indiana is 2-1 under their last three games. My model has both team combining for 44.5 points.

Purdue's first-year head coach is Ryan Walters, formerly Illinois' defensive coordinator. The Illini have been solid on D but have missed Walters. They still have one of the nation's top defensive tackle duos in Jer'Zhan "Johnny" Newton and Keith Randolph Jr. And cornerback Zachary Tobe was the highest graded freshman in the Big Ten for all positions during Week 4. Purdue hasn't topped 20 points in his past two at home and I wouldn't be shocked if that trend continues. Don't really see Illinois scoring 34 or more to land this Over.