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    Wed, Dec 2112:30 am UTCFAU Stadium
    73 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Liberty
    Flames
    LIB
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L8-5
    ATS6-7
    O/U6-7-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Toledo
    Rockets
    TOLEDO
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L9-5
    ATS5-9
    O/U6-8-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    8-5
    Win /Loss
    9-5
    6-7
    Spread
    5-9
    6-7-0
    Over / Under
    6-8-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    WR
    Avatar
    WR
    No Key Player Injuries
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    LIB @ TOLEDO
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

    MONEYLINE
    LIB @ TOLEDO
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

    OVER / UNDER
    LIB @ TOLEDO
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Over / UnderUnder 51.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +755
    24-15-2 in Last 41 CFB Picks
    +640
    13-6 in Last 19 CFB O/U Picks
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 TOLEDO O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Thunderstorms await these teams, which could mean a modest score despite Liberty's recent fade on defense and a number of players from the unit defecting. The Flames' offense took a recent step back with a season-ending injury to RB Dae Dae Hunter and never regained its footing. Toledo yielded the third fewest points among MAC members. The only opponent Liberty permitted more than the mid-20s to before coach Hugh Freeze began his distracting dalliance with the Auburn job was 37 to potent Wake Forest.

    Pick Made: Dec 20, 7:50 pm UTC
    Point SpreadToledo -3.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +370
    18-13 in Last 31 CFB ATS Picks
    Micah's Analysis:

    Liberty has lost its last three games, lost head coach Hugh Freeze and lost several key players to the transfer portal. The Flames lost at UConn and at home to Virginia Tech and New Mexico State in their last three. Morale is down. Toledo comes off a MAC Championship win against Ohio, ending a five-game non-cover streak. The key reason to pick against Liberty was how bad the defense was in its last game, losing to New Mexico State, 49-14, using three quarterbacks. Liberty is not the same team that started the season 8-1. Toledo covers.

    Pick Made: Dec 20, 5:58 pm UTC
    Money LineToledo -170
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Matt's Analysis:

    Boca Raton Bowl. Liberty fell apart at the end of the season with Hugh Freeze rumors swirling and of course he left for Auburn. That has to affect the Flames' offense as he was the play-caller. In that season-ending three-game skid, Liberty really struggled to stop the run, and that plays right into MAC champion Toledo's wheelhouse. The Flames also lost a couple of starting defenders to the portal.

    Pick Made: Dec 19, 8:44 pm UTC
    Point SpreadLiberty +5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +570
    10-4 in Last 14 CFB ATS Picks
    Jeff's Analysis:

    The Flames should be super focused after dropping their last three games by a combined -87.5 ATS margin. Liberty owns the better offensive line (No. 70 vs. No. 73), defensive line (No. 10 vs. No. 24), special teams (No. 37 vs. No. 120), and total defense (No. 44 vs. No. 61) at Football Outsiders. Liberty has superior metrics against fellow bowlers, and the Flames' defense leads the nation in tackles for a loss (109). Liberty is 7-3 SU and 9-1 ATS as underdogs, while the Rockets are 2-7 ATS against winning teams of late. Take Liberty plus the points.

    Pick Made: Dec 15, 8:43 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Liberty Flames
    Thursday, Feb 01, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Reese Smith
    Undisclosed
    Avatar
    WR
    Victor Jones Jr.
    Undisclosed
    Toledo Rockets
    No Player Injuries