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Sat 12/10 | 8:00 PM UTC | Philadelphia
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Navy Midshipmen 4-6, 7-3 ATS
NAVY -2.5-120
NAVY -155
Over 32-110
Army Black Knights 3-6, 5-4 ATS
ARMY +2.5+100
ARMY +130
Under 32-110

Expert Picks

CFB | Navy 17 @ Army 20 | 12/10 | 8:00 PM UTC

Army +3

WIN

ANALYSIS: Navy is one of the youngest teams in the nation, and I think is being overvalued simply as it beat ranked UCF in its most recent outing like way back on Arbor Day (seriously, it's been a while) -- not completing a single pass (on its one attempt). What decade is this? We may not see double-digit pass attempts combined in this one. Army runs it better by a fair amount over the Middies. I want to play the Under 32.5 points, too, considering 16 straight in the series have gone Under, but I just can't bring myself to do it. It's like trying Casu Marzu, which is maggot cheese in Italy. I'm sure it's lovely, but I ain't going there. I probably wasn't going to play this spread, either, but now that it's 3 feel I have to. It might end 2-0. Note that Navy hasn't won back-to-back games all year.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+608 25-17 IN LAST 42 CFB ATS PICKS
+180 4-2 IN LAST 6 ARMY ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 NAVY ATS PICKS

Season Splits

4-6, 7-3 ATS
3-6, 5-4 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
70%
7-3
5-4
56%
On Road or Neutral
LOCATION
On Road or Neutral
100%
6-0
3-2
60%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
0%
0-1
2-3
40%
When Spread was -5 to -1
SPREAD
When Spread was +1 to +5
0%
0-0
0-2
0%
Favored on Road or Neutral
LOCATION & STATUS
As Road Underdog
0%
0-0
2-2
50%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
50%
2-2
2-2
50%
vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
50%
1-1
1-0
100%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
70%
7-3
5-4
56%
vs ARMY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NAVY
0%
0-0
0-0
0%