Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
Utah was the best Pac-12 team at the start of the season, and it continues to hold that distinction entering Week 6 despite an L on its resume. Sure, a season-opening loss to a flawed Florida team was tough, but the Utes played well in a tough environment immediately coming out of the offseason. UCLA is getting too much credit for the Washington win. Utah's defense has bounced back, and while UCLA's offense is notably efficient and among the best in the nation, it actually among the least explosive groups in the nation. Credit to the Bruins for stepping up their game massively so far this year, but the Utes have won five straight in the series by an average margin of 27 points per game (32.3 over the last three meetings).
The UCLA Bruins are coming off of massive win over the Washington Huskies as three-point underdogs. They held a 24-point lead over the Huskies entering the 4th quarter. Quarterback Dorian Finney-Thompson has 14 total touchdowns and just one interception this season. Since the Utah Utes loss at Florida to open the season, they have looked impressive. They have won four straight games but they haven't had any real competition. The Bruins are the better team and are playing this game at home. I love getting more than a field goal in this situation. Take the points.
I think the market is overreacting to UCLA's big win over Washington last week. Dorian Thompson-Robinson was spectacular, but the Washington defense was terrible, and that helped. Meanwhile, UCLA's defense wasn't impressive, either. Also, I've seen enough of DTR to know that he struggles when pressured, and Utah has one of the highest pressure rates in the country defensively. It's going to force a lot more DTR mistakes than Washington could.