ANALYSIS: Texas A&M wins games by shutting down the opposition and hoping its offense can manage enough points to win. The Aggies have an average score of 18-16 in their three FBS games so far. Now, they are without their top receiver Ainias Smith, who is out for the season with a leg injury suffered last week. Mississippi State’s offense has not really been tested yet, but the Bulldogs only managed 16 points on the road at LSU. The total in this game is too high.