Nevada was one of the few teams that played in Week 0. Although the Wolf Pack won, it was a sloppy contest that showed there will be a hard transition without quarterback Carson Strong. Texas State is typically not in the role of favorite, but it has experience on its side. New quarterback Layne Hatcher was a three-year starter at Arkansas State and should have no issues on the road against Nevada. Take Texas State.
The spread has plunged in the wake of Nevada’s lethargic win over lowly New Mexico State last week. The Wolfpack offense, with only two former starters onboard, did awaken after three worthless opening possessions, so a brighter day awaits. Though recent data don’t show it, teams with a game under their belt should benefit against opponents playing in their openers. Texas State has won just three of 18 away games under coach Jake Spavital.
This has dropped today from Nevada -3.5 to a pick'em, and I'm honestly not sure why when the game is in Reno. The Wolf Pack didn't look all that great in their season-opening win over New Mexico State but having a game under their belts is an advantage -- and Nevada is a better program overall. Texas State is a lower-tier Sun Belt team that was 4-8 last year and allowed 33.0 points per game. That defense lost one of its best players and leaders when cornerback Zion Childress transferred to Kentucky.