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Sat 10/30 | 4:00 PM UTC | Buffalo
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Bowling Green Falcons 2-8, 6-4 ATS
BGREEN +13.5-110
BGREEN +425
Over 51.5-110
Buffalo Bulls 3-7, 2-7 ATS
BUFF -13.5-110
BUFF -600
Under 51.5-110

Expert Picks

Bowling Green 56 @ Buffalo 44 | 10/30 | 4:00 PM UTC

Buffalo -13.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: CBS Sports Network has this MAC game. It's still hard to fathom how Bowling Green won at Minnesota on Sept. 25 as the Falcons have lost four in a row since and were plastered 55-24 at home by so-so Eastern Michigan last week. Buffalo, an expected MAC contender, seems to be finding its footing with back-to-back wins and more important gets star running back Kevin Marks back this week after he missed the previous two. The Bulls should thus run roughshod with the trio of Marks, Dylan McDuffie (603 yards, 7 TDs) and Ron Cook Jr. (379 yards, 2 TDs) on a bad BGSU defense. Buffalo has won the past four in this series by an average of about 27 points. It may not be that much of a blowout this time but at least by 14. The Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their past 10 as home favorites.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+867 19-9 IN LAST 28 CFB PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 BUFF ATS PICKS

Season Splits

2-8, 6-4 ATS
3-7, 2-7 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
71%
5-2
2-4-1
33%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
100%
4-0
1-1-1
50%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
83%
5-1
1-2
33%
When Spread was +11.5 to +15.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -15.5 to -11.5
100%
1-0
1-1
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
100%
4-0
0-1
0%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
50%
1-1
1-4
20%
vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
0%
0-1
0-3-1
0%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
vs BUFF
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BGREEN
0%
0-0
0-0
0%