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Thu 10/28 | 11:30 PM UTC | Conway
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Troy Trojans 3-3, 1-5 ATS
TROY +17
TROY +600
Over 50
C. Carolina Chanticleers 5-1, 3-2 ATS
CSTCAR -17
CSTCAR -900
Under 50

Expert Picks

Troy 28 @ C. Carolina 35 | 10/28 | 11:30 PM UTC

OVER 49.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: This total opened at 54 and is dropping because rain and wind are likely to be a factor tonight, but not like Colts-49ers monsoon conditions. Thus, now that this total has dropped under the magic number of 50 (think a 30-20 or 37-13 final score), I think it's safe to bet the Over. The teams combined for 80 points last year. That won't happen but Coastal seems likely to score at least 33 and Troy can get to 17. The SportsLine Projection Model actually has the final score 34-17.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+697 14-6 IN LAST 20 CFB PICKS

Season Splits

3-3, 1-5 ATS
5-1, 3-2 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
17%
1-5
3-2-1
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
25%
1-3
2-0-1
100%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
0%
0-2
3-2-1
60%
When Spread was +15 to +19
SPREAD
When Spread was -19 to -15
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
0%
0-1
2-0-1
100%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 50-70% of Games
0%
0-0
1-1
50%
vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
0%
0-1
0-0
0%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
17%
1-5
0-0
0%
vs CSTCAR
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TROY
0%
0-0
0-0
0%