Two teams that run the ball more often than nearly everybody else in the country against two teams that stop the run better than nearly everybody else in the country. It's going to be an ugly, low-scoring affair, but I don't see much value on the total where it's posted. Instead, I'll take the team getting a field goal.

This might be the best matchup of the weekend with the Mountain West teams a combined 12-1 -- it's on CBS Sports Network. Might also be the lowest-scoring game of the weekend with a total of 40 between excellent defensive clubs and offensive teams that want to run the ball. The Aztecs are 1st in rushing defense and 19th in rushing offense, while the Falcons are 1st in rushing offense and 10th in rushing defense. It seems SDSU knows how to deal with that Air Force option, though, having won the past eight in the series. I'll happily take the 3.5 points as this could end in a baseball score.