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Fri 10/22 | 11:00 PM UTC | Orlando
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Memphis Tigers 4-6, 3-7 ATS
MEMP +2
MEMP +105
Over 63
UCF Knights 6-4, 3-7 ATS
UCF -2
UCF -125
Under 63

Expert Picks

Memphis 7 @ UCF 24 | 10/22 | 11:00 PM UTC

UCF -1

WIN

ANALYSIS: I was going to pass on this game -- at full strength, UCF is better. However, Memphis starting QB Seth Henigan has just been ruled out in a surprise and in my mind that changes everything. Look at how the Tigers have performed on the road this season even with Henigan -- at the Liberty Bowl, they are dominant. Away? Shaky at best. Sophomore quarterback Peter Parrish gets his first career start and if he gets hurt? Memphis doesn't have another healthy QB on the roster. The Knights are struggling because they are on their backup, but he has been playing for several games. That plus home field and I like the win.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+557 10-4 IN LAST 14 CFB PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 MEMP ATS PICKS

Season Splits

4-6, 3-7 ATS
6-4, 3-7 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
33%
2-4
0-5
0%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
0%
0-3
0-2
0%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
25%
1-3
0-1
0%
When Line was 64 to 68
SPREAD
When Line was 64 to 68
0%
0-1
0-0
0%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
0%
0-2
0-0
0%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 50-70% of Games
33%
1-2
0-1
0%
vs Teams Allowing >32 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >32 PPG
33%
1-2
0-2
0%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
vs UCF
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MEMP
0%
0-0
0-0
0%