Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
The Tigers beat Mississippi State last Saturday with smoke and mirrors. They were outgained by a nearly a 2-to-1 margin and needed a punt return and fumble return for touchdowns to win by two points. A victory over any SEC team impresses the public, which has made Memphis the favorite. Yet the Roadrunners might wield the better squad. They rank 10th nationally in defense and 23rd in passing offense, while RB Sincere McCormick is a legit All-America candidate.
I don't think this spread is getting under 3, so I'll have to take Memphis on the moneyline because UTSA is a fine team and very capable of hanging within 3 or closer. However, we have cashed on the Tigers all season. Memphis has won 17 straight games at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium – the fourth-best home streak among FBS teams in the nation. The Tigers have also won 22-consecutive non-conference games there. The Memphis QB/RB/WR trio of Seth Hanigan/Brandon Thomas/Calvin Austin III has to be the best in the Group of 5 and probably better than several Power 5 schools.