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Sat 09/25 | 4:00 PM UTC | Fort Worth
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
SMU Mustangs 5-0, 3-2 ATS
SMU +10-110
SMU +320
Over 64-110
TCU Horned Frogs 2-3, 1-4 ATS
TCU -10-110
TCU -420
Under 64-110

Expert Picks

SMU 42 @ TCU 34 | 09/25 | 4:00 PM UTC

SMU +9.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: From 2012-18, TCU dominated this series and had four 30-point victories in that span before SMU won the last meeting in 2019 by a score of 41-38. SMU QB Tanner Mordecai has 16 passing TDs this season, and TCU showed that its secondary has some holes when it gave up 309 yards to a subpar Cal passing attack. SMU's biggest weakness is its secondary, but the Mustangs have been solid against the run, while TCU's biggest strength is its rushing attack. I think this game bodes well for SMU to at least keep the game close.

author-image

Stephen Oh

Data Scientist
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS
+490 6-1 IN LAST 7 TCU ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 SMU ATS PICKS

Season Splits

5-0, 3-2 ATS
2-3, 1-4 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
1-1
0-1
0%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
0%
0-0
0-1
0%
When Line was 63.5 to 67.5
SPREAD
When Line was 63.5 to 67.5
0%
0-0
0-1
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
0%
0-0
0-1
0%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
0%
0-0
0-1
0%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
0%
0-0
0-1
0%
vs TCU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SMU
0%
0-0
0-0
0%