My model suggests this total is about 4.6 points short of where it should be for these two teams. CMU surrendered 30 points per game in a weak MAC league and now they face a hungry Tigers team looking for their first win of the season. LSU can score, obviosuly, but they're also a little vulnerable on defense through the air. CMU will obviously have to throw a lot in this game which ultimately extends the game pretty significantly at the college level. The Over is the top play here.