ANALYSIS: Indiana struggled in Week 1 against a really good Iowa defense, and the Hoosiers are facing another strong defense this week against Cincinnati. Our sims have Cincinnati holding Indiana to a full touchdown less than what Vegas has projected. Going back to last season, Indiana has scored just 40 combined points in its last three FBS games, while Cincinnati has held FBS opponents to 17 or fewer points in seven of its last 10 games. Cincinnati's one loss since last season came by just three points to Georgia, and the Bearcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. I feel more comfortable with the moneyline, but we see value on the spread and Under as well.