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college-football - Sat 11/21 | 8:30 PM UTC | Ryan Field |

Wisconsin @ Northwestern

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
WISC -7
-7
Over / Under
43
45.5
ML
WISC -290
-280

Matchup breakdown

Wisconsin
NWEST
PROJ SCORE
2-1
W-L
5-0
2-1
ATS W-L
5-0
2-1
O/U
0-5
22
PT DIFF
13.2
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Past Expert Picks

Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite
Sat 11/21

Wisconsin @ Northwestern | 11/21 | 8:30 PM UTC

Wisconsin -7.5

LOSS

There are few who side with Northwestern as often as I, but in this spot, it is just not the right pick. It's almost as if Wisconsin is being downgraded for blowing out a couple mediocre opponents while Northwestern is getting too much credit for narrow wins over similar competition. I'd prefer not to have the hook here, but I would side with Wisconsin up to -9 as I think the Badgers win by double digits. It will be close in the first half thanks to the Wildcats defense, but Wisconsin will get it done on the ground and in the air over the final 30 minutes.

+278 5-2 IN LAST 7 WISC ATS PICKS

Barrett Sallee

CFB Guru
Thu 11/19

Wisconsin @ Northwestern | 11/21 | 8:30 PM UTC

Wisconsin -7

LOSS

This is the Super Bowl for the Wildcats, but just another game for a Badgers crew that has been lighting it up on offense through two games. They are averaging a whopping 6.07 yards per play, have the top rushing offense in the Big Ten (261.5 ypg) and have a defense that has shut down Illinois and Michigan in blowout wins. I’d love to know how Northwestern is going to keep up with a Badgers team that looks the part of a College Football Playoff contender.

+903 20-10 IN LAST 30 CFB PICKS
+95 2-1 IN LAST 3 WISC ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 NWEST ATS PICKS

Tom Fornelli

#TrustTheProcess
Wed 11/18

Wisconsin @ Northwestern | 11/21 | 8:30 PM UTC

Wisconsin -7.5

LOSS

Northwestern is off to a fantastic start to the season and a win over Wisconsin would just about wrap up the West barring an epic collapse. But I don't see it happening. While the Wildcats offense looked fantastic in its opener, it's been very mediocre in each of the last three wins. While it's still phenomenal defensively, Wisconsin has been great on both sides of the ball, and I can't see the Wildcats keeping up for the entire 60 minutes.

+85 3-2 IN LAST 5 CFB PICKS
+374 7-3 IN LAST 10 WISC ATS PICKS
+285 5-2 IN LAST 7 NWEST ATS PICKS

Bill Marzano

Veteran Handicapper
Wed 11/18

Wisconsin @ Northwestern | 11/21 | 8:30 PM UTC

Northwestern +7.5

WIN

The Badgers come into this game off two blowout wins and will face their toughest test to date. They have dropped five of the last six meetings at Ryan Field. Northwestern is 4-0 and has a terrific defense that matches up well with the Wisconsin offense. The Wildcats allow just over 300 yards per game, which is 11th best in the nation. The Badgers’ defense is allowing just over 200, but they have played just two games against inferior opponents. This should be a defensive battle. Northwestern has allowed just one TD in the second half this year.

+1215 21-8-2 IN LAST 31 CFB ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 WISC ATS PICKS

Kyle Akins

SportsBook Breakers
Fri 11/20

Wisconsin @ Northwestern | 11/21 | 8:30 PM UTC

Wisconsin -7.5

LOSS

Because the narrative after last week’s Wisconsin-Michigan game turned entirely to Michigan’s failures, everyone did not appreciate how strong of a performance it was by Wisconsin. For Northwestern, this is a chance to make a statement at home against a really good team. However, time and time again the Wildcats have failed to live up to expectations in this situation. Northwestern is 0-16 ATS (-11.91 points per game) since Nov. 11, 2006, at home against a team that has won at least 86 percent of its games. I'm on Wisconsin. Wisconsin 31, Northwestern 13.

Wisconsin

PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
G. MertzGraham Mertz16/241651.330.580.0811.8
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
J. BergerJalen Berger12.5500.344.00.0710.1
N. WatsonNakia Watson11.3410.343.60.207.1
I. GuerendoIsaac Guerendo6.8290.094.20.073.7
J. ChenalJohn Chenal2.5180.177.10.073.1
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
J. FergusonJake Ferguson2.8310.4611.10.266.7
C. DikeChimere Dike2.2310.1114.30.015.6
D. DavisDanny Davis III2.1270.2212.50.056.9
K. PryorKendric Pryor1.6200.0812.00.014.3
J. BergerJalen Berger2.8170.036.10.0710.1
G. GroshekGarrett Groshek2.1140.027.00.074.4
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
WisconsinWisconsin2.561.720.971.21.42.6

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Jack Coan
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

Northwestern

PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
P. RamseyPeyton Ramsey14/271350.851.720.1910.2
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
I. BowserIsaiah Bowser14.6410.152.80.296.6
D. AndersonDrake Anderson8.7270.163.10.054.1
P. RamseyPeyton Ramsey9.5220.222.30.1910.2
E. HullEvan Hull4.2150.203.60.053.5
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
R. Chiaokhiao-BowmanRamaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman2.7290.2610.60.025.8
K. McGowanKyric McGowan1.9190.059.90.234.4
R. LeesRiley Lees2.1190.158.90.014.1
J. RaineJohn Raine2.0170.158.50.023.7
I. BowserIsaiah Bowser1.380.146.20.296.6
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
NorthwesternNorthwestern1.000.581.030.80.91.7

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Aidan Smith, Jace James
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 11/21/2020 20:00 GMT