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college-football - Sat 11/21 | 8:30 PM UTC | Bounce House |

Cincinnati @ UCF

Odds by William Hill Sportsbook
ATS
CINCY -4
-3
Over / Under
65.5
62
ML
CINCY -175
-230

Matchup breakdown

Cincinnati
UCF
PROJ SCORE
7-0
W-L
5-3
5-2
ATS W-L
3-5
3-4
O/U
5-3
24.6
PT DIFF
13
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Past Expert Picks

Stephen Oh

Data Scientist
Sat 11/21

Cincinnati @ UCF | 11/21 | 8:30 PM UTC

Cincinnati -4.5

LOSS

Cincinnati is the No. 4 team in the country according to my power simulations. The Bearcats are 6-0 this season and winning by an average of 28 points a game against FBS opponents. They also are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games, while UCF is just 1-5 ATS in its last six. My model says Cincy covers almost 60 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value at this number. Take the Bearcats.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 CINCY ATS PICKS

Mike Tierney

Top Dog
Thu 11/19

Cincinnati @ UCF | 11/21 | 8:30 PM UTC

Cincinnati -6

LOSS

Cincinnati is for real. Its defense, per usual, is among the nation’s elite with a 10th-overall ranking and even better in interceptions and completions allowed. Its offense isn’t too shabby, either. The Bearcats have registered at least 38 points in each of their last four games. With an outside chance at a playoff berth, this might be the country’s most motivated team. UCF, typically, wields a potent offense but a shabby defense, which is rated 93rd. The absence of 10 players who opted out means these are not the Knights of recent vintage.

+720 16-8 IN LAST 24 CFB PICKS
+368 7-3 IN LAST 10 CINCY ATS PICKS

Zack Cimini

Contrarian with Chutzpah
Sat 11/21

Cincinnati @ UCF | 11/21 | 8:30 PM UTC

Cincinnati -4

LOSS

Today's game will be a tough test for the Bearcats, who will be playing just their second road game this season, but I expect the Cincinnati defense to have the necessary answers in the second half to stymie the Knights. Grab the Bearcats.

+745 36-26 IN LAST 62 CFB ATS PICKS
+61 5-4 IN LAST 9 CINCY ATS PICKS

Cincinnati

PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
D. RidderDesmond Ridder16/281891.781.190.6023.1
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
G. DoaksGerrid Doaks16.5820.495.00.5012.8
D. RidderDesmond Ridder10.4620.776.00.6023.1
J. FordJerome Ford8.5490.565.70.298.1
C. YoungCameron Young2.1160.217.50.073.3
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
A. PierceAlec Pierce1.9300.1915.70.025.1
J. JacksonJayshon Jackson1.7240.1114.80.013.9
M. YoungMichael Young1.8240.2813.20.055.0
J. WhyleJosh Whyle1.8180.3410.60.024.7
T. TuckerTre Tucker1.4170.1812.80.013.9
G. DoaksGerrid Doaks1.1130.1411.20.5012.8
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
CincinnatiCincinnati3.390.910.971.11.33.5

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Charles McClelland, Doug Bates
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

UCF

PASSINGCP/ATTYDTDINTFUMLFP
D. GabrielDillon Gabriel19/362791.420.910.3217.3
RUSHINGRUSHYDTDYPCFUMLFP
G. McCraeGreg McCrae13.0600.414.60.059.5
O. AndersonOtis Anderson11.4510.224.50.278.0
B. ThompsonBentavious Thompson7.4300.214.00.174.4
J. RichardsonJohnny Richardson4.0200.175.00.323.1
RECEIVINGRECYDTDYPRFUMLFP
M. WilliamsMarlon Williams4.1580.3014.20.029.6
J. RobinsonJaylon Robinson3.1580.1718.80.018.4
T. NixonTre Nixon2.5430.2816.90.017.2
R. O`KeefeRyan O`Keefe1.4270.1519.50.014.2
J. HarrisJacob Harris1.4230.1616.10.013.9
O. AndersonOtis Anderson1.3110.048.60.278.0
DEF-STSACKINTFRECFGMFGAXP
UCFUCF1.771.191.371.11.32.4

PLAYERS LISTED AS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:

Trillion Coles, Darriel Mack Jr., Jordan Davis, Dionte Marks
*Questionable players are included in the projection.

last updated: 11/21/2020 20:00 GMT