I don't know how effective the zig-zag theory of betting is overall, but it certainly seems to fit with Mike Leach teams. Not expected to win? Take Leach's team. Coming off a big win? Fade em. Well, after losing to Arkansas last week, Mississippi State's now a dog against an 0-2 Kentucky team that can't throw the football. I'll take The Pirate and the best run defense in the country right now to cover.

Arkansas made it clear how to beat Mississippi State last week -- lots of zone. Kentucky coach Mark Stoops is one of the brightest defensive minds in the country, and he's smart enough to take Arkansas' game plan and expand on it. What's more, Kentucky running backs AJ Rose and Chris Rodriguez Jr. will run through the Bulldogs defense.