Boston College @ Duke

Even though the Eagles lost their starting quarterback and stud running back AJ Dillon from last year's team, a decorated offensive line and running back David Bailey (5.7 yards per carry) return, which should help with the transition in 2020. Duke looked mediocre in its loss to Notre Dame last week and doesn't look like the kind of team that can blow anyone out. My model has BC covering 60 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value at this number.

The Eagles haven’t teed it up this season and the Blue Devils played Notre Dame tough last week. The Eagles return four offensive linemen and are comfortable enough at quarterback with Dennis Grosel or Phil Jurkovec to allow longtime starting quarterback Anthony Brown to walk out the door. The Blue Devils gave up 6.04 yards per play last week, so expect a new-look offense to at least keep this one close.

Duke lost to Notre Dame 27-13 last week, which presents reasons to be optimistic about the Blue Devils this week, as well as reason for pessimism. The good news is they have a game under their belt, while Boston College doesn't. The bad news is that nothing Duke did last week left an indelible mark on me, and none of it gives me confidence to trust it as a favorite here this week.