UAB averaged a 25-18 score this season while going 9-3 straight up (7-5 against the spread) and Florida Atlantic averaged a 34-23 score while going 9-3 (8-4 ATS). Both defenses have been strong most of the season, which has kept the majority of their games under the total. But FAU’s offense has been playing at a high level in their last five games (4-1 ATS) and I look for them to pace this one over the total.

UAB has reached the Conference USA title game thanks in large part to playing nobody during the regular season. Its biggest win came against a Louisiana Tech team without its starting QB and leading WR. The Blazers' other seven FBS wins came against teams with a combined record of 15-69. The Owls will provide a much more difficult challenge, and as long as Lane Kiffin didn't spend the entire week interviewing for jobs elsewhere, FAU should win with ease.

Bill Clark has made defense the calling card of the Blazers since the program's resurrection, and that will continue in the C-USA Championship Game. What's more, FAU has given up 4.95 yards per play in November.