Arizona averages 32.9 points per game and allows 37.3, which has translated into six Overs to just three Unders. The Wildcats have found their quarterback of the future in freshman Grant Gunnell, who may start this weekend over Khalil Tate. I believe both will play, making it more difficult for Oregon to prepare. The Ducks offense averages 38.2 points per game and put up 56 in its last game, against USC. The Over has hit in Oregon's last three games. Take the Over.

Oregon is the best team in the Pac-12, and is its best chance at earning a playoff berth. But that doesn't mean I'm ready to trust it as this large of a favorite, particularly at home. Since Mario Cristobal took over in Eugene the Ducks are only 4-8 ATS at home, and 3-7 ATS as a home favorite. Yes, the Ducks are better than Arizona, but they aren't 27.5 points better.