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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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This opened at -6 for Florida and has fallen significantly, presumably because South Carolina starting QB Ryan Hilinski will be active while Florida will be without both of its key pass rushers in Jon Greenard and Jabari Zuniga. That hurt the Gators last week at LSU when they expected them to play, but I don't think that will be as much of an issue with time to plan otherwise. Florida is far better offensively than South Carolina, and its defense was one of the best in the nation until it met LSU. UF is outscoring opponents 119-38 in the second half and 64-14 in the fourth quarter. SoCar is being overvalued after upsetting Georgia. Take advantage and take the Gators at the reduced number.
The Gamecocks are over valued after an huge upset win over Georgia last week. I make that Gators -6 favorites on the road in South Carolina and expect them to bounce back after the loss to LSU. Lay it with the road favorite.
Let’s forgive Florida’s defense for getting strafed last Saturday by LSU. The Gators’ D remains daunting, and freshman South Carolina QB Ryan Hilinski has much more to worry about than his slightly injured knee. The Gamecocks could face a football hangover after knocking off Georgia a week ago. Florida is in a different boat, coming off a defeat in which its offense showed considerable improvement.
The youthful Gamecocks showed their talent level and potential with last week's massive upset of Georgia. But their relative inexperience also has come with a predictable trait of inconsistency. The win over Georgia is probably saving us at least two points in this line. look for Florida, coming off its first loss of the season at LSU, to withstand some early resistance from South Carolina and pull away for the cover.
South Carolina is coming off a huge upset of Georgia, but the Gamecocks offense did not play well in the game. This week it will be going up against another tough defense. I have a hard time seeing South Carolina doing much damage with or without Ryan Hilinski, but its defense is good enough to slow down Florida, so the spread is a little tricky. I think the Under is the smarter play.
Both teams are coming off of emotional rollercoaster-type games. Sometimes that emotion, both positive and negative, can spill over into the following game. The Gators played well enough to beat LSU and come into this matchup still eyeing the SEC East title, with hope for a potential rematch. Plus, South Carolina's QB, Ryan Hilinski, may miss the game due to a concussion suffered last week against Georgia. Take the Gators.
The Gamecocks are the darlings of the college football world after upsetting Georgia, but Florida now knows not to take them likely. Quarterback Kyle Trask was awesome in the loss to LSU in Death Valley, and coach Dan Mullen will take that experience and build off of it. South Carolina will get quarterback Ryan Hilinski back, but how healthy will he be? Can he have success against this Gators defense? I don't think so.