The Cavaliers are coming in off two road losses and look to get back on track back at home. Those two losses are the main reason this spread isn't bigger. Both Duke and Virginia average 5.2 yards per play however Virginia's defense is where there is a difference. Duke ranks No. 44 in yards per play allowed, but Virginia is No. 18, allowing just 4.4 yards per play. Duke's revenge from last year is nullified by the Cavaliers' back-to-back losses. Take Virginia. ... Join SportsLine here to see the full pick!

When the fall comes and brings with it cloudy skies and brisk temperatures, there's nothing like curling up on the couch in the warmth of an oversized hoodie. Virginia Unders are like that hoodie. I'm going to wear it til it's threadbare, and then just buy a new one. The Hoos have a terrific defense and a horrible offensive line, which lends itself to lower-scoring games. Duke's offense has been too one-dimensional to truly stress the Virginia defense, and we're gonna have a rock fight on our hands here.

Virginia’s ATS dominance in the series should come to an abrupt halt. The Cavaliers have forgotten how to score, which can happen when your QB -- in this case, Bryce Perkins -- has suffered a baker’s dozen of sacks the past two weeks. Duke, conversely, has tallied more than 30 points in each of its last five outings. It will attack a secondary minus a likely NFL first-round pick, CB Bryce Hall (ankle). In their two road games, the Blue Devils have outscored foes a combined 86-28.