Brian Kelly has done a great job at Notre Dame; the Irish are 24-4 the last two-plus years. Kelly is 12-10 ATS vs Top 25 teams the past four years, including 1-3 in 2016 when the team went 4-8 straight up. The Fighting Irish defense starts nine upperclassmen and will stack the box to slow down D'Andre Swift. Georgia is the real deal, but two touchdowns and the hook are to too much to pass up.

Notre Dame might be overmatched Saturday, but this key number plus the hook provides enough value to play on an underdog that is still a legit top-10. It's a pretty big step for Georgia after three weeks' worth of cupcakes and they should meet substantial resistance for the first time.

Over the years plenty of people have called Notre Dame overrated. That's not the case this year, nor was it the case last year. What Notre Dame is, however, is a tier below the country's elite. Since 2011, the Irish have played four games against top 5 teams. They are 0-4 straight up and 1-3 ATS. On the road in Athens, I don't think the Irish can keep up with Georgia.

Notre Dame normally is one of the most over-bet teams in the country. Not this week, though, as the Fighting Irish are being spotted two touchdowns despite a No. 7 national ranking. That position in the top 25 may be too lofty, but the public is putting too much stock in the Irish’s blowout loss to Clemson during the national semifinals last season. Notre Dame fares well against the SEC and is slightly above .500 ATS as a double-figure underdog. The combined five outcomes for these squads so far mean little since all of the opponents were softies. With the line moving two points in Georgia’s direction this week, there is value with the visitors.