Ole Miss holds the key to this total going Over the total. The Rebels have enough offense to generate points against a Cal team that hasn't yielded more than 19 this season (which is why the total is so low). Ole Miss will likely give a little ground on defense too, so Cal's limited offense should have some chances.

No one is paying attention to what's going on out West this year in the Pac-12. Not only do you have Utah doing Utah-like things, but the Cal Golden Bears have quietly put together one of the best defenses in college football. Normally, we're speaking of the Cal offense and how the Bears can't stop anyone on defense. That's not the case this season. In football, two things travel really well: run game and defense. Cal has both.

Beware, Pacific Coast Time-based teams that schedule games in the Eastern time zone. You might eventually get stuck in the early window of games, which is the fate that has befallen California. Its body clocks will be set in mid-morning for the kickoff. The Bears are 3-0 but have played impressively just once. Both of the Rebels’ new coordinators recently were head coaches in the Pac-12 -- OC Rich Rodriguez at Arizona, DC Mike MacIntyre at Colorado -- and bring familiarity with the opponent to game-planning. The Bears should be trailing by the time they wake up.

The wrong team is favored. The Rebels have been inconsistent offensively all season, the stout Bears defense will slow down running back Scottie Phillips and force quarterback Matt Corral into multiple mistakes through the air. Running back Christopher Brown will expose a Rebels defense that lacks talent and depth, and Cal will cruise to an easy victory.