My trusty projections indicate quarterback Sawyer Smith and his Troy Trojans beating up on South Alabama pretty fiercely on Tuesday. The Trojans cover the spread in over 60 percent of the simulations by an average of 17 points. Despite having its five-game winning streak snapped at Liberty, Troy still has the more explosive offensive and the aggressive defense.

Troy is one of two Sun Belt teams that just seem to operate on another level than the rest of their Sun Belt competition. The Trojans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six conference games, and and 8-2-1 in their last 11 overall. They're also 10-5 ATS on the road since the start of the 2016 season, and they're going against a South Alabama team that's one of the worst in the country. Get this number now before it gets larger.