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Expert Picks
Mired in a miserable season, the Ducks broke a five-game losing streak last week with their home rout of Arizona State. Although a tissue-soft defense remains an issue, it has at least shown a pulse at times the past couple of games. Moreover, three of losses during the skid came by exactly three points. Oregon still has the firepower to get its share of points, which will come in handy against a USC team that has played to its potential of late but rarely performs well ATS as a big chalk. The Ducks keep this reasonably close.
QB Sam Darnold is playing some really good ball right now and he has this Trojans' offense rolling. Their effectiveness has breathed new life into a defense that is starting to get off the field on third down much more often than earlier in the season. Oregon is playing for pride, but pride can only get you so far in football. You need execution and that’s what is lacking right now with the Ducks.
Both schools have impressive freshman quarerbacks, but I think USC's defense will be the difference in a convincing win. The Trojans have allowed 21.3 points per game during their four-game win streak while eclipsing 40 points three times. Oregon is coming off its first cover of the season. Look for the favorite to improve to 9-2 ATS in the last 11 Oregon-USC matchups.