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Virginia -1.5 UVA -1.5

Texas Tech 77 vs Virginia 85
4/09
TXTECH 77 vs UVA 85
4/09
WIN

These are two of the most efficient defenses in the country, which means it's likely going to be a low-scoring, close battle throughout, as this spread suggests. Still, while both teams are terrific defensively, what's often overlooked is that Virginia has one of the most efficient offenses in the country as well. I trust the Cavs to be able to score in this game more than I do the Raiders, so I'll lay the points with Virginia.

4-1 IN LAST 5 TXTECH ATS PICKS | +285

OVER 118 OVER 118

Texas Tech 77 vs Virginia 85
4/09
TXTECH 77 vs UVA 85
4/09
WIN

It's very low. Too low for me. Texas Tech did exactly what they wanted with Michigan State, which is they doubled up on Cassius Winston and pretty much stopped him, and took away the inside. Between Culver and Moretti and Mooney, Tech will be able to score some on Virginia. It won't take many points from the Cavaliers to hit the Over here.

OVER 117.5 OVER 117.5

Texas Tech 77 vs Virginia 85
4/09
TXTECH 77 vs UVA 85
4/09
WIN

The NCAA Championship game will be somewhat deprived of points. We know that from watching the semifinals. But the public has hammered an already low total down to a figure that hardly befits teams capable of going off offensively. Texas Tech reached the 80s in five of its last six regular season outings, while Virginia?s average of 71 points puts the Cavaliers in the middle of the 15-team ACC in scoring. Players might have needed Saturday?s games to grow accustomed to shooting in the massive football stadium and should be more on target. And, if nothing else, the negligible point spread suggests we could be treated to bonus minutes in yet another tournament overtime that would allow for more scoring.

3-2 IN LAST 5 UVA O/U PICKS | +78

Texas Tech +2.5 TXTECH +2.5

Texas Tech 61 vs Michigan St. 51
4/07
TXTECH 61 vs MICHST 51
4/07
WIN

Flip the head coaches, and Texas Tech would be favored. As awesome as Tom Izzo is, Chris Beard earned his National Coach of the Year Award with a peerless defense and an effective offense built around Jarrett Culver, the Final Four?s most effective player not named Cassius Winston. The Red Raiders took out the tournament's most talented team (Gonzaga), so they certainly can hang with the rugged Spartans.

4-1 IN LAST 5 TXTECH ATS PICKS | +289

2-1 IN LAST 3 MICHST ATS PICKS | +90

UNDER 132 UNDER 132

Texas Tech 61 vs Michigan St. 51
4/07
TXTECH 61 vs MICHST 51
4/07
WIN

If I were picking a side in this game I'd lean toward Texas Tech and the points, but I'm not nearly as comfortable with that pick as I am with the Under here. These are two solid defensive teams that move at a muted pace on offense. The Under has gone 3-1 in each of these team's four tournament games so far, and playing in a giant football stadium can cause teams to need time to adjust to strange sight lines.

3-0 IN LAST 3 MICHST O/U PICKS | +300

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