Two teams that play at a very slow pace, but the total hasn’t moved much. This is the same total as the last game they played which ended with 111 total points. Boise State averages less than 68 possessions per game and face the 12th best defense in country. The Broncos defense currently ranks 3rd in the country in keeping teams off the offensive glass and San Diego State isn’t as strong a rebounding team as seasons past. The Aztecs only have two players averaging in double figures and are near the bottom of the country in free throw percentage. At a neutral court, this could be a slow, grind it out type game.

A neutral site spread that seems incorrect is Boise State against San Diego State. On assumption this spread would figure to be closer to a pick based on their seasons, and the fact San Diego State blew out Boise 64-47. Since the Broncos made lineup changes and won five of their final six games. Look for those lineup changes to spark Boise State as they revenge their loss to the Aztecs.

San Diego State has won 17 straight Mountain West Tournament quarterfinals, and the Aztecs swept the regular-season series. Brian Dutcher's team knows how to defend Boise State point guard Alvaro Cardenas (12.0 ppg, 6.9 apg). In eight career games against SDSU, Cardenas has shot 31.8 percent. This should be a tight game and I took the points.