Well, well, lookie here. Fellow expert Thomas Casale has joined us on the moneyline dark side. I agree with him that this feels light (and we got it 14 cents cheaper), but that's only if all the key Monmouth guys play. And there's the rub. Got scorched on Lafayette last night because not just their best player but one of the conference's best didn't play completely out of nowhere. And we STILL don't know the reason. Why I keep betting a sport with so little information ... as long as Abdi Bashir Jr. and Madison Durr do play for Monmouth, feel solid about this. Led by those two, the Hawks have scored 90+ points in B2B games for the first time in seven years.

I'm taking Monmouth on the ML because I think it should be closer to -225. The value is too good to pass up. Monmouth has played only six home games but the Hawks are 5-1 on their home court and get a reeling Hampton squad Thursday. The Pirates are 3-7 in 2025 with the wins coming over lowly Howard, Delaware and North Carolina A&T by a combined eight points. Monmouth has a big edge when it comes to getting to the foul line. The Hawks rank second in the CAA in free-throw scoring rate, while Hampton allows the most foul shots per game to opponents. Hampton might be without leading rebounder Kyrese Mullen for the second straight game too. I'll back the Hawks to win.