Xavier has been a tough luck team this season, losing six games by eight points or less. One of those losses came to UConn is OT when the Musketeers were without Zach Freemantle. I wrote an article this week talking about fading teams on the road in conference games with poor defensive efficiency ratings. UConn ranks a dismal 132nd in defensive efficiency. The Huskies shoot a ton of threes and Xavier ranks first in Big East games in three-point FG percentage defense. Meanwhile, UConn is one of the worst teams in the country defending threes. The Huskies also foul a lot and Xavier is tops in the Big East in free throw attempts. Take Xavier ML or anything up to -2.5 on the spread.