loading...
Mon 03/20 | 1:52 AM UTC | Denver
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
TCU Horned Frogs 22-12, 16-18 ATS
TCU +4.5-110
TCU +170
Over 153-115
Gonzaga Bulldogs 30-5, 15-20 ATS
GONZAG -4.5-110
GONZAG -205
Under 153-105

CBB | TCU 81 @ Gonzaga 84 | 03/20 | 1:52 AM UTC

TCU +4.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Getting by in an ugly manner during March Madness is one of the best carryover value angles. TCU did not deserve to get past Arizona State as it was outplayed by a wide margin. The Horned Frogs now face a Gonzaga team that suits their style better. The Zags lack the athleticism of Arizona State and will have issues handling TCU's offensive spurts. Tail the Horned Frogs.

author-image

Zack Cimini

Contrarian with Chutzpah
+181 4-2 IN LAST 6 CBB PICKS
+181 4-2 IN LAST 6 CBB ATS PICKS
+385 6-2 IN LAST 8 GONZAG ATS PICKS

CBB | TCU 81 @ Gonzaga 84 | 03/20 | 1:52 AM UTC

Gonzaga -4.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Gonzaga is statistically playing elite basketball at the perfect moment. They're averaging 84.8 points, shooting 54.9% from the field coupled with 34.8 rebounds per game over their last five. The defense is holding opponents in that same span to 65.4 PPG and barely over 40% from the field. Meanwhile TCU is wearing down from a gauntlet of a schedule and almost a heartbreaking loss last round to Arizona State. Over the last five TCU has regressed statistically to a mere 69.4 PPG on 39% shooting. In fact, the Horned Frogs in this stretch are actually averaging more points to their opponents than scored themselves. The key will be free throws, both teams rate rather poorly through the season. If the Zags are knocking them down like they do 3's, good luck.

CBB | TCU 81 @ Gonzaga 84 | 03/20 | 1:52 AM UTC

Gonzaga -4.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Since the beginning of February, it has felt as if TCU’s time is up. I can’t bet the Horned Frogs as they’ve gone 5-7 straight up and 3-9 against the spread in that span. On the other hand, Gonzaga has learned and elevated its game during its 10-game winning streak. The Bulldogs are just 6-4 ATS over that span, but the losses came when they were double-digit favorites. I like Gonzaga to cover this short number.

CBB | TCU 81 @ Gonzaga 84 | 03/20 | 1:52 AM UTC

TCU +5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Gonzaga is 3-7 ATS in neutral-site games this season, and I like that ATS struggle to continue in Sunday's matchup versus Big 12 foe TCU. The Bulldogs faced two Big 12 teams this season, losing to Baylor and Texas while turning it over a combined 38 times. Led by Mike Miles, who's averaging 20 points over his last four games, the Horned Frogs can run with Gonzaga and they have the quickness to bother the Zags' guards. Drew Timme should have a big day inside against a TCU team that lost Eddie Lampkin, but look for an entertaining shootout and grab the points.

author-image

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
+1795 107-81-1 IN LAST 189 CBB PICKS
+1795 107-81-1 IN LAST 189 CBB ATS PICKS
+135 9-7-1 IN LAST 17 GONZAG ATS PICKS
+278 5-2 IN LAST 7 TCU ATS PICKS