Each team has won four of their last five games. Both teams have a top-15 offense in terms of efficiency but Utah State has the better defense, which is key in March. The Aggies hold their opponents to 45.9 percent from the floor and this Missouri team that is second to last in the country in offensive rebounding. The Tigers defense ranks out of the top-150 in terms of efficiency. While both offenses can be streaky, the Aggies have been the more consistent team throughout the season. I’m on Utah State.

This Aggies team got a tough draw but this game is very winnable. The Aggies won and covered seven straight games before losing to San Diego State in the Mountain West semifinals. The Aggies have everything you want from a tournament team. They are the seventh best free throw shooting team and the sixth best three point shooting team in the tournament. The Aggies three best scorers all shoot at least 80 percent from the line so they should be able to hang on to any late lead they have. On the other side, the Missouri Tigers haven't won an NCAA Tournament game since 2010, lost and failed to cover five straight games. Take the Aggies to move on.