San Diego State is playing well, with wins and covers in five of its last six. Utah State is 11-1 at home while averaging an 83-69 score, helping eight of those games get Over the total. The Over also has gone 8-3 in the Aggies' MWC games. SDSU beat them in San Diego on Jan. 25, 85-75. Tonight's game has a similar total. Over is the top play.

Utah St. is shooting 43.2 percent from beyond the arc and 53 percent from the floor at home this season. Over their last three games, the Aggies are shooting 86.4 percent from the free-throw line. San Diego St. has shot 28.1 percent from beyond the arc over their last three games. The Aztecs have seen regression in the defense on the road, giving up 72 points or more this season. San Diego St. won the first match-up at home by 10 points. I’m on Utah St.

San Diego State plays lockdown defense and sits atop the Mountain West but Logan, Utah is a tough place to play. The Aggies have won three straight home meetings with the Aztecs and four of the last seven matchups overall. The home team is on a 16-4-1 ATS run in this series. Since losing 85-75 at San Diego State on Jan. 26, Utah State has won three in a row and found its shooting form. In that 85-75 defeat on Jan. 26, Utah State shot 33.3 percent from deep. That's well below the Aggies' nation-best season average of 40.2 percent. In Logan, the Aggies shoot it even better, 43.2 percent. Utah State is 11-1 at home, the loss coming when the Aggies blew an 18-point lead to Weber State in mid-December. Lay the small number.