ANALYSIS: The emergence of Dereck Lively is game-changer for Duke at a crucial point in the year. The 7-1 freshman was the best player on the court in the Blue Devils' win against UNC and he only had 4 points. That's because what he means to this team in terms of rim protection is a massive upgrade, and this is a Duke team that already felt confident in its ability to defend. Duke has defensively slowed down almost all of its conference competition from their season averages, and I think we see that here again against the Canes. The first game, back on Jan. 21, finished at 134 and so anything under 140 or 142 seems like a good play for the under.