Buffalo has won its last four games, all as a favorite, after losing its first two in MAC play. The Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven as they visit first-place Toledo, which is 7-0 SU at home. The Rockets have won and covered their past six overall, aided by a defense that holds opponents to 39 percent shooting.

The Rockets are rolling as they are 6-0 SU and ATS in their last six games. They are also amazing on their home court as they are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS and they have won these games by an average of 26.1 PPG. The Bulls have been struggling at covering the spread as they are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. Kenpom ranks the Rockets 30 spots above the Bulls because of their defense. They will be able to slow down the Bulls enough to cover this small spread.

This is a very high total. Yes both teams are great offensively, but the Rockets play amazing defense at home. They have held opponents to just 60.9 PPG on 35.7 percent from the field and 24.3 percent from three in games on their home court. The Bulls have been more defensively oriented recently as the Under has cashed in each of their last three games by an average of 21.5 PPG. Neither team wants to get in a shootout. Take the Under here.