I was leaning Northern Arizona but was on the fence ... but Sacramento State will apparently be without starting guard Will FitzPatrick (7.7 ppg, 3.1 rpg in 31.1 mpg) so let's do it. The Hornets enter on a three-game skid. The best player on the floor will be NAU's Jalen Cone, who averages 18.5 points and is shooting 41.5 percent from deep, good for 40th in the country. Nik Mains averages 12.4 points per game and is shooting a career-best 44 percent from behind the arc.

Sacramento State has lost seven of its last nine games, including its last three while shooting 28 percent from the field. Northern Arizona has lost its last two with poor shooting as well but against two of the top Big Sky teams. Factor in 6,909 feet of elevation in Flagstaff and I think Sacramento State is in for a tough night.