Seattle has been a big surprise out of the WAC. It is 14-4 overall and 5-0 in conference play. The Tarleton State Texans have appealing close non-conference losses to Gonzaga and Michigan. The problem is, they are back-pedaling and have lost three straight conference matchups. Take Seattle to ignore the fact this is its third road game since Monday and grab another win.

Seattle has won five in a row, covering the spread in four, while the Cowboys have lost three straight, going 0-3 ATS. The Redhawks average nearly 78 points per game, while the Cowboys score just 65. Tarleton State also shoots less than 42 percent from the field and is one of the nation's worst from three-point range (29 percent, 334th). Seattle hits almost 37 percent from beyond the arc (55th). The model has the Redhawks covering 74 percent of the time and winning outright in 71 percent of simulations.

The Redhawks keep getting favorable lines. They are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. The Texans are struggling as they are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games. The Redhawks are the better team and they should be the favorites. Kenpom ranks the Redhawks 42 spots ahead of the Texans. The Redhawks offense is going to be the difference maker in this game. The Redhawks are better on both sides of the court. They should win this game outright.