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Fri 01/21 | 12:00 AM UTC | Lexington
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Samford Bulldogs 18-10, 15-13 ATS
SAMFORD +4.5-110
SAMFORD +170
Over 161-110
VMI Keydets 13-15, 16-11 ATS
VMI -4.5-110
VMI -200
Under 161-110

Expert Picks

Samford 80 @ VMI 99 | 01/21 | 12:00 AM UTC

VMI -190

WIN

ANALYSIS: The SportsLine Projection Model has VMI winning this SoCon matchup by 13 ... but I don't think that's accurate. I do think the Keydets win at home, though, as they are 16-2 in their past 18 at Cameron Hall. VMI leads the SoCon in free throw percentage (.803), field goal percentage defense (.385), assist/turnover ratio (1.5), defensive rebounds (30.3) and three-point field goals per game (12.4 -- second in the nation). Samford lost at VMI by 29 in the final meeting last season. This is one of those (like UNC Asheville last night) that my pick SHOULD win as long as every key VMI player starts as they are supposed to. One of Samford's best, Jermaine Marshall, apparently is out again.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1929 218-139-3 IN LAST 360 CBB PICKS

Season Splits

18-10, 15-13 ATS
13-15, 16-11 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
42%
6-8
8-6-1
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
55%
5-4
2-1
66%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
42%
3-4
2-3
40%
When Spread was +2.5 to +6.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -6.5 to -2.5
100%
1-0
0-2
0%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
3-3
1-1
50%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 50-65% of Games
62%
5-3
3-2
60%
vs Teams Allowing >72 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >72 PPG
57%
4-3
2-4
33%
After 4+ Days Off
REST
After 4+ Days Off
14%
1-6
4-3-1
57%
vs VMI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SAMFORD
0%
0-0
0-0
0%