The Lumberjacks are missing key pieces and just struggled against lowly Lamar. They've covered two of their last eight home games. Grand Canyon has won seven straight, is coming off back-to-back blowout victories, and has risen to No. 59 in the NET rankings. Look for the Antelopes' elite defense (19th nationally in defensive efficiency) to make the difference in Nacogdoches, Tex., tonight.

The Antelopes defense should be the difference in this game. They have one of the best defenses in the country as they rank 16th in PPG allowed, 17th in field goal percentage allowed, and 1st in three point percentage allowed. The Lumberjacks defense is where they struggle. They have allowed at least 75 points in five of their last seven games. They are just 2-5 ATS in those seven games. The Antelopes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games covering by an average of 8.3 PPG. This spread is too small. Take the Antelopes in this matchup.