BOS
MIA
DAL
GS
Expert Picks
Indiana St. 55 @ S. Illinois 63 | 01/20 | 1:00 AM UTC
S. Illinois -197
WIN
ANALYSIS: I'll chance this because it's still under -200 and due to Indiana State second-leading scorer Cameron Henry being ruled out due to injury. He averages 14.4 points and leads the team in rebounds (5.9 rpg) and assists (2.9 apg). The SportsLine Projection Model had Southern Illinois winning by 5 before this news so I suppose if reading this you could play the spread, but I honestly like to take end-of-game cover scenarios out for stress reasons. If I see SIU up by six or so with a minute left, I can just turn it off.
Matt Severance
Severance Pays
Season Splits
8-19, 12-14 ATS
15-14, 18-11 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
64%
9-5
10-7
58%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
5-5
6-2
75%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
63%
7-4
4-5
44%
When Spread was +3.5 to +7.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -7.5 to -3.5
50%
1-1
1-1
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
4-4
4-2
66%
vs Teams That Win 50-65% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
60%
3-2
4-4
50%
vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >72 PPG
66%
4-2
2-2
50%
After 4+ Days Off
REST
After <4 Days Off
66%
6-3
7-1
87%
vs SILL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs INDST
0%
0-1
1-0
100%