CIN
KC
SF
LAR
Expert Picks
UC Riverside 65 @ Cal-Baker. 64 | 01/15 | 9:00 PM UTC
UNDER 124.5
LOSS
ANALYSIS: Bakersfield has a nice defense and Riverside is 2-9 OU this season. Multiple models like Sagarin and Haslametrics have this coming in closer to 112 points, more conservative projections from my system have this at 119 points and the McClure simulations agree here as well. Grab the Under here as we have more than 5 points of value.
Justin Perri
Model Guy
Season Splits
6-5, 6-5 ATS
3-5, 1-6 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
6-5
1-6-1
14%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
57%
4-3
0-3
0%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
75%
3-1
1-2-1
33%
When Spread was -4.5 to -1
SPREAD
When Spread was +1 to +4.5
0-0
0-0
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
100%
1-0
0-0
vs Teams That Win <50% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 50-65% of Games
33%
1-2
1-1
50%
vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <67 PPG
60%
3-2
1-0-1
100%
After <4 Days Off
REST
After <4 Days Off
50%
2-2
0-1-1
0%
vs CSBAK
HEAD TO HEAD
vs UCRIV
0-0
0-0